GRA Lit Review - Part II 1963- 1985 Last Edited: September 16, 1996 Notice GRA is seeking assistance from persons interested in writing 75- 100 word annota- tions/abstracts on each of the citations below. If you are interested please contact us at jrogers@grai.com for further instructions. If you participate and your annotation is accepted you will receive name credit for your efforts. Please do not start your work until you have talked with us to make sure your work does not duplicate that of others. Thank you. 1985: Kobrin, Steven J."Diffusion as an Explanation of Oil Nationalization." Journal of Conflict Resolution. March 1985, p.33ff Blalock, Hubert M., Basic Dilemmas In the Social Sciences. Beverly Hills: Sage Publications.,1985 Dodds, J. Colin., "Bank Country Risk Management." Columbia Journal of World Business, Fall 1985, 112-113. Ghadar, Fariborz and Theodore H. Moran (Editors)., International Political Risk Management: New Dimensions.Washington: Landegger Program in International Business Diplomacy, School of Foreign Service, Georgetown University. 1985 Grosse, Robert and John Stack.,"Noneconomic Risk Evaluation in Multinational Banks." Management International Review, 1985. Jones, Randall J., "Empirical Models of Political Risks in U.S. Oil Production Operations in Venezuela." Journal of International Business Studies, Spring/Summer 1985, 81-95. 1984: Kobrin, Steven J., "Expropriation as an Attempt to Control Foreign Firms in LDCS: Trends from 1960 to 1979." International Studies Quarterly, 28, 1984, 329 - 348. Leavy, Brian., "Assessing Country Risk for Foreign Investment Decisions.Ó Long Range Planning, June 1984, 141 - 150. LeCraw, Donald J., "Bargaining Power, Ownership, and Profitability of Transnational Corporations in Developing Countries." Journal of International Business Studies, Spring/Summer 1984, 27 - 43. Kennedy, Charles R.,"The External Environment-Strategic Planning Interface: US Multinational Corporate Practices in the 1980s." Journal of International Business Studies, Fall 1984, 99-108. Kennedy, John Whitcomb,"Risk Assessment for US Affiliates, Based in Less Developed Countries." Columbia Journal of World Business, Summer 1984, 76 - 79. Mandel, Robert., "The Overseas Private Investment Corporation and International Investment." Columbia Journal of World Business, Spring 1984, 89 - 95. Schollhammer, Hans and Douglas Nigh, "The Effect of Political Events on Foreign Direct Investments by German Multinational Corporations." Management International Review, 1, 1984,18 - 40. Shiozaki, Akifumi, Country Risk Assessment Now. Master's thesis. Cambridge, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 1984. Shreeve, Thomas W.,"Be Prepared for Political Changes Abroad." Harvard Business Review, July - August 1984, 111 - 118. Sloan, Michael P.,"Strategic Planning by Multiple Political Futures Techniques." Management International Review, 1, 1984,4 - 17. Westney, D. Eleanor and Sumantra Ghoshal, "Environmental Scanning: More Questions Than Answers." Cambridge: Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, 1984. "Dow Picks Up the Pieces in Chile." Fortune, April 1984 1983: Brennglass, Alan C., The Overseas Private Investment Corporation: A Study in Political Risk. New York: Praeger, 1983. Choi, F.D.S. and I.J. Czechowicz., "Assessing Foreign Subsidiary Performance: A Multinational Comparison." Management International Review, 4,1983, 14 - 25. Fry, Earl H., The Politics of International Investment. New York, McGraw Hill, 1983 Mascarenas, Briance and Clifford Atherton., "Problems in Political Risk Assessment." Management International Review, 2, 1983, 22 - 32. Rodman, Kenneth Aaron., Permanent Sanctity Versus Permanent Sovereignty: The Evolution of United States Policy Toward the Expropriation of Raw Material Investments in the Developing World. unpublished PhD Thesis, Cambridge, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Political Science, 1983. Rogers, Jerry, (Editor), Global Risk Assessments: Issues, Concepts.and Applications, Book I. Riverside: Global Risk Assessments, Inc.,1983. Schneeweis, Thomas.,Determinants of Profitability: An International Perspective." Management International Review, 2, 1983, 15 - 21. "Khomeini's Iran Radiates Self-Confidence." Middle East Economic Digest, March 18, 1983, 20 - 22. "Boom Days for Political Risk Consultants." New York Times, August 7,1983, 1, Section 3, 1982: Bergstrom, Gary L, and Mark England-Markun, "International Country Selection Strategies." Columbia Journal of World Business, Summer 1982, 42 - 45. Carvounis, Chris C, "The LCD Debt Problem: Trends in Country Risk Analysis and Rescheduling Exercises." Columbia Journal of World Business, Spring 1982, 15 - 19. Dougherty, D.M. and C. Specter, "Intervention Analysis: A Tool for Improved Risk Analysis in International Business." Management International Review, 1982, 9 - 21. Ghadar, Faribor.."Political Risk and the Erosion of Control: The Case of the Oil Industry." Columbia Journal of World Business, Fall 1982, 47-51. Kassicieh, S.K. and J.R. Nassar, "Political Risk and the Multinational Corporation. A Study of the Impact of the Iranian Revolution on Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the United Arab Emirates." Management International Review, 3, 1982, 22 - 32. Kobrin, Steven J, Managing Political Risk Assessment, Strategic Responses to Environmental Change. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1982. LaPalombara, Joseph, "Assessing the Political Environment for Business: A New Role for Political Scientists?" PS, Spring 1982, 180 - 186. Merrill, James, "Country Risk Analysis." Columbia Journal of World Business, Spring 1982,, 88 - 91. Simon, Jeffrey D, "Political Risk Assessment: Past Trends and Future Prospects." Columbia Journal of World Business, Fall 1982, 62 - 71. Wu, Friedrich W, "The Political Risk of Foreign Direct Investment in PostMao China: A Preliminary Assessment." Management International Review, 1, 1982, 13 - 23. "The Risk Merchants." The Middle East, May, 29 - 30, 1982. "The Euromoney Country Risk Ratings." Euromoney, September 1982,71 - 74. "Middle East Export Cover - An Accumulation of Risk." Middle East Economic Digest July 16, 1982 27. 1981: Brewer, Thomas L., "Political Risk Assessment for FDI Decisions: Better Methods for Better Results." Columbia Journal of World Business, Spring 1981, 5 - 12. Business International, Managing and Evaluating Country Risk. New York: Business 'International Corp., 1981. Davies, Warnock, "Beyond the Earthquake Allegory: Managing Political Risk Vulnerability." Management International Review, 3, 1981, 5 - 9. _____________, "Unsticking the State of the Art of Political Risk Management." Sloan Management Review, Summer 1981, 59 - 63. Donath, Bob, "Handicapping and Hedging the Foreign Investment." Industrial Market , February 1981, 56 - 61. Kobrin, Steven J., "Political Assessment by International Firms, Models or Methodologies?" Journal of Policy Modeling, 2, 1981, 251 - 270. _____________, "Assessing Political Risk Overseas." The Wharton Magazine, Winter 1981, 25 - 31. Micaleff, Joseph V., "Political Risk Assessment." Columbia Journal of World Business., Summer 1981, 47 - 52. Shapiro, Alen C.,"Managing Political Risk: A Policy Approach." Columbia Journal of World Business, Fall 1981. Walter, Ingo, "Country Risk, Portfolio Decisions and Regulation in International Bank Lending." Journal of Banking and Finance, 5, 1981, 77 - 92. "Insuring Against Risk Abroad." Business Week, September 14, 1981,59 - 62. "Corporate Decisions in a Corporate Context." Financial Times, August 12, 1981. "More Firms Are Hiring Own Political Analysts to Limit Risks Abroad." Wall Street Journal March 30, 1981, 1980: Blank, Steven, et al.,Assessing the Political Environment: An Emerging Function in International Companies. New York: The Conference Board, 1981. Cetron, Marvin J., "Forecasting Coups to Come." Futures, June 1980, 262 - 266. Haner, F.T., Global Business: Strategy for the 1980s. New York: Praeger, 1980. Higgins, J.C. and D.J. Romano, "Socio-Political Forecasting and Management Information Systems." Omega, 3, 1980, 303 - 309. Jodice, David A., ÒSources of Changes in Third World Regimes for Foreign Direct Investment, 1968 - 1976." International Organization, Spring 1980, 177 - 206. Kelly, Marie Wicks, Investment Evaluation Practices of US Multinational Corporations, Ann Arbor: UMI Research Press, 1980. Kobrin, Steven J., "The Environment and the International Firm." chapter 3 from Environmental Assessment in the International Firm: Politics as a Problem of Managerial Process. Cambridge, Center for International Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. ____________"Organization and Institutionalization of the Environmental Assessment Process." chapter 7 from Environmental Assessment in the International Firm: Politics as a Problem of Managerial Process. Cambidge: Center for International Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1980. ____________"Foreign Enterprise and Forced Divestment in LDCS." International Organization, Winter 1980, 65 - 88. Kobrin, Steven J., et al."The Assessment and Evaluation of Noneconomic Environments by American Firms: A Preliminary Report." Journal of International Business Studies, Spring - Summer 1980, 32 - 47. Senkiw, Roman I., "Using Country Risk Assessments in Decision Making." The Journal of Commercial Bank Lending, August 1980, 28 - 36. Vincent, Jack E.,"Scientific Prediction Versus Crystal Ball Gazing: Can the Unknown be Known?" International Studies Quarterly, September 1980, 450 - 454. "The Post-Shah Surge in Political Risk Studies." Business Week, December 1, 1980, 69. "Doing Business in Unstable Countries." DunÕs Review, March, 1980, 48 - 55. "Political Risks Bill Aims to Embolden US Exporters." Financial Times, September 5, 1980, 8 - 9. "The Multinationals Get Smarter About Political Risks,Ó Fortune, March 24, 1980, 86 - 100. 1979: Freeman, John R. and Brian L. Job, "Scientific Forecasts in International Relations." International Studies Quarterly, March 1979, 113 - 143. Haendel, Dan, Foreign Investments and the Management of Political Risk. Boulder: Westview Press, 1979. Haner, F.T., "Rating Investment Risks Abroad." Business Horizons, April 1979, 18 - 23. Kobrin, Steven J., "Political Risk: A Review and Reconsideration." Journal of International Business Studies, Spring - Summer 1979, 67 - 80. Nagy, Panras J., Country Risk: How to Assess, Quantify.and Monitor It. London: Euromoney Publications Limited. Wilson, John 0., "Measuring Country Risk in a Global Context." Business Economics, January 1979, 23 - 27. 1978: Choucri, Nazli and Thomas W. Robinson (Editors).,Forecasting in International Relations. Theory, Methods, Problems, Prospects. San Francisco: W.H. Freeman and Co., 1978. Juhl, Paul -Georg., "Investment Climate Indicators-. Are They Useful Devices to Foreign Investors?" Management International Review, 2. 1979, 45-50. Kobrin, Steven J.,"When Does Political Instability Result in Increased Investment Risk?" Columbia Journal of World Business, Fall 1978, 113 - 122. Leff, Nathaniel H., "Multinationals in a Hostile World." The Wharton Magazine., Spring 1978, 21 - 29. Lipson, Charles, "The Development of Expropriation Insurance: The Role of Corporate Preferences and State Initiatives." International Organization, Spring 1978, 351 - 375. Nagy, Panras J., "Quantifying Country Risk: A System Developed at the Bank of Montreal." Columbia Journal of World Business, Fall 1978, 135 - 147. Rummel, R.J. and David A. Heenan, "How Multinationals Analyze Political Risk." Harvard Business Review, January - February, 67 - 76. 1977: Carson, David, "Political Factors as Managerial Decision Elements in Formulating Multinational Strategies." Management International Review, 1, 1977, 71 - 79. 1976: Alpert, Eugene J. ÒCapabilities, Perceptions, and Risks, A Baysesian Model of International Behavior.Ó International Studies Quarterly, September, 1976, 415 - 440. Kobrin, Steven J."The Environmental Determinants of Foreign Direct Manufacturing Investment. An Ex Post Empirical Analysis." Journal of International Business Studies, Fall - Winter 1976, 29 - 42. U.S. House of Representatives, Committee n Foreign Affairs.The Overseas Private Investment Corporation: A Critical Analysis, 1976, Arno Press. Van Agtmael, Antoine W.,"How Business Has Dealt With Political Risk." Financial Executive, January 1976, 26 - 30. Green, Robert T. and Willian H. Cunningham, "The Determinants of U.S. Foreign Investment: An Empirical Examination." Management International Review, February 1976, 113 - 120. Haendel, Dan, et al., Overseas Investment and Political Risk. Lexington: Lexington Books, 1975. ___________ The Measurement of Political Risk and Investment Strategy: A Summary Report. Philadelphia, Conference Proceedings, May 9 - 10, 1975 1974: Choucri, Nazli.,"Forecasting in International Relations: Problems and Prospects." International Interactions, 1, 1974, 63 - 86. Green, Robert T., "Political Structures as a Predictor of Radical Political Change." Columbia Journal of World Business, Spring 1974, 28 - 36. Green, Robert T. and Christopher M. Korth., "Political Instability and the Foreign Investor." California Management Review, Fall 1974, 23 - 31. Keegan, Warren J., "Multinational Scanning: A Study of the Information Sources Utilized by Headquarters Executives in Multinational Corporations." Administrative Sciences Quarterly, September 1974, 411-421. Knudsen, Harald., "Explaining the National Propensity to Expropriate: An Ecological Approach." Journal of International Business Studies, Spring 1974, 51 - 71. _____________Expropriation of Foreign Private Investments in Latin America. Bergen: Universitets Forlaget, 1974. Mason, Hal R., "Conflicts Between Host Countries and-the Multinational Enterorise." California Management Review, Fall 1974, 5 - 14. Mueller, P. Henry (Moderator), "Assessing Country Exposure." The Journal of Commercial Bank Lending, December 1974, 28 - 43. Nehemkis, Peter, "Expropriation Has a Silver Lining." California Management Review, Fall 1974, 15 - 22. 1973: Bradley, David G., "Managing Against Expropriations." Harvard Business Review, July - August 1973, 75 - 83. Moran, Theodore H., "Transnational Strategies of Protection and Defense by Multinational Corporations Spreading the Risk and Raising the Cost for Nationalization in Natural Resources." International Organization, Spring 1973, 273 - 287. Moran, Theodore, H. (Editor)., International Political Risk Assessment: The State of-the Art. Washington: Landegger Papers in International Business and Public Policy, School of Foreign Service, Georgetown University, 1973. Wheelock, Keith.,"What is the Direction of U.S. Political Risk Insurance?" Columbia Journal of World Business, Summer 1973, 59 - 67. Zink, Dolph Warren., The Political Risks For Multinational Enterprise In Developing .Countries, With A Case Study of Peru. New York: Praeger, 1973. 1972: Barnes, Robert., "International Oil Companies Confront Governments." International Studies Quarterly, December 1972, 454 - 471. Bennett, Peter.D. and Robert T. Green., "Political Instability as a Determinant of Direct Foreign Investment in Marketing." Journal of Marketing Research, May 1972, 182 - 186. Boddewyn, Jean, and Etienne F. Cracco., "The Political Game in World Business." Columbia Journal of World Business, January - February, 45 - 56. Business International., Managing the Multinationals: Preparing for Tomorrow. London: George Allen & Unwin Ltd, 1972. Green, Robert T. and Charles H. Smith., "Multinational Profitability as a Function of Political Instability." Management International Review, 6, 1972, 23 - 29. Green, Robert T., Political Instability as a Determinant of U.S. Foreign Investment. Austin: Bureau of Business Research, Graduate School of Business, University of Texas, 1972. Murray, J. Alex., "Intelligence Systems of the MNCs." Columbia Journal of World Business, September - October 1972, 63 - 71. 1971: Piper, James R., "How US Firms Evaluate Foreign Investment Opportunities." MSU Business Topics, Summer 1971, 11 -20. Robock, Stefan H., "Political Risk: Identification and Assessment." Columbia Journal of World Business, July - August, 6 - 20. Smith, Clifford Neal.,"Predicting the Political Environment of International Business." Long Range Planning, September 1971, 7 - 1 1970: Iloskins, William R., "How to Counter Expropriation." Harvard Business Review, September - October 1970, 102 - 112. Truitt, Frederick J.,"Expropriation of Foreign Investment: Summary of the Post World War IT Experience of American and British Investors in Less Developed Countries." Journal of International Business Studies, Fall 1970, 21 - 34. Weigel, Dale., "Restrictions on Dividend Repatriation and the Flow of Direct Investment to Brazil." 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